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Hello! Welcome to my blog! I've long been convinced that I'm not interesting enough to blog but others have persuaded me to give it a try. My name is Mark Summers and I live in Newcastle upon Tyne in the UK. My interests include politics (name a country, I'll read about it!) and, as a committed Christian, theology. I've got a whole load of other things I'd write on though so I've added 'Stuff' to the name. Hopefully that will cover things! I've been writing for many years and will hope to share some of my old pieces along with entries on current events and my random ideas. I'm also single......

Tuesday, 6 November 2012

Final Attempt – US Election Predictions

As before, below are 3 tables. The guesses are the same as last time, I’ve just removed ‘Predictions’ and ‘Leanings’ 

My conclusion is a win for Obama with 281 votes, just over the 270 votes needed
 
Debate warmly encouraged
 
Arizona
11
 
Colorado
9
 
Florida
29
 
Indiana
11
 
Iowa
6
 
Michigan
16
 
Minnesota
10
 
Missouri
10
 
Nevada
6
 
New Hampshire
4
 
New Mexico
5
 
North Carolina
15
 
Ohio
18
 
Pennsylvania
20
 
Virginia
13
 
West Virginia
5
 
Wisconsin
10
 
 
198
 

Romney

Alabama
9
Alaska
3
Arkansas
6
Georgia
16
Idaho
4
Kansas
6
Kentucky
8
Louisiana
8
Mississippi
6
Montana
3
Nebraska*
5
North Dakota
3
Oklahoma
7
South Carolina
9
South Dakota
3
Tennessee
11
Texas
38
Utah
6
Wyoming
3
 
154
 
+ swing states = 257

Obama

California
55
Connecticut
7
Delaware
3
Hawaii
4
Illinois
20
Maine*
4
Maryland
10
Massachusetts
11
New Jersey
14
New York
29
Oregon
7
Rhode Island
4
Vermont
3
Washington
12
District of Columbia#
3
 
186
 
+ swing states = 281

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