Just got a touch screen phone. First blog from that. Woo.
Four predictions from the last few days:
1. The econony will be central - 'well duh' I hear you cry! The simple fact is that Obama has to defend his actions over the past few years whilst Romney can play to the dream economics of the Tea Party right
2. Obama's 1 trick pony is facing two opponents - Joe Biden will have to up his game to support Obama with Ryan's profile already high. Biden has never really been in the limelight with Obama's team as the main man has held crowds and got support with his excellent rhetoric. Now Obama's powers are waning and Ryan is on the scene Biden will need to keep on message
3. Funding - funding is crucial in an election but there has been an imbalance in the last few weeks. Both candidates are able to spend the money given to them but only Obama is secure as his party's nominee and therefore able to spend the war chest he has created over 4 years. In contrast, Romney is sitting on money he cannot spend due to funding laws as he is not yet the official nominee (and won't be until his official nomination at the RNC at the end of the month). More money will make the campaign yet more interesting!
4. Florida will be crucial - Ryan's economic plan has been rightly criticised for cutting back on Medicare, health funding for the elderly. Even though Ryan's plans aren't official Romney policy, with Florida's old population that will be hard to sell and easy to attack. Meanwhile Obama still struggles in Florida having made massive cuts to NASA's budget and stopped the return to the Moon and the mission to Mars. I still think Romney would have done better in the Sunshine State by picking Marco Rubio but that is water under the bridge. Both candidates could really do with those 27 Electoral College votes
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